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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://ir.ncue.edu.tw/ir/handle/987654321/17076
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Title: | Optimal Hedging on Spot Indexes with a Duration-Dependent Markov-Switching Model |
Authors: | Huang, Shian-Chang;Pan, Tzu-Hui;Lo, Yin-Chih |
Contributors: | 企業管理學系 |
Keywords: | Duration-dependent Markov-switching model;MCMC;Financial hedge;Financial Econometrics |
Date: | 2010-09
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Issue Date: | 2013-07-11T09:04:44Z
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Publisher: | EuroJournals Publishing, Inc. |
Abstract: | This study introduces a duration-dependent Markov-switching vector autoregression (DDMSVAR) model to perform futures hedging on major spot indexes around the world. The transition probabilities of DDMSVAR models are time-varying depending the duration lasted on a state, which are good at modeling duration-dependent business cycles and market conditions. By Gibbs sampling from the Markov chain Monte Carlo method, the model parameters and state variables are accurately estimated. The portfolio implied by the optimal hedge ratio is constructed and compared with those of DCC-GARCH and BEKK-GARCH models. The empirical results indicate that the DDMSVAR model significantly outperforms DCC-GARCH and BEKK-GARCH models and achieves better risk reduction over 50% on average. |
Relation: | International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 49: 161-171 |
Appears in Collections: | [企業管理學系] 期刊論文
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2060200610002.pdf | 25Kb | Adobe PDF | 613 | View/Open |
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